Archive for the “RealClearMarkets” Category

Articles from RealClearMarkets.

In January the U.S. Treasurer, Rosie Rios, traveled to Dallas to join local officials at the construction site of a new convention hotel being built with money raised through Build America Bonds. The purpose was to celebrate the success of the so-called BABs, which are federally-subsidized bonds created by the 2009 stimulus package.
Of course, what no one at the Dallas “celebration” pointed out is that the $388 million in BABs that the city floated with federal aid were necessary because no private developer would cough up the money for the risky project. In fact, local officials…

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Surprise, surprise. Sen. Chris Dodd’s financial-regulation proposal raises the possibility of substantial progress on the road to ending “too big to fail” (TBTF) and bailout nation for banks and other financial institutions.
How the Dodd bill will play out in the final details remains to be seen. But when you read the Dodd fact sheet, there are a few key items to like.
First, under the Dodd scheme, large complex companies will have to submit plans for rapid and orderly shutdowns should they go under. These are called “funeral plans.” Then, in terms of these orderly…

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Over the last two budget cycles, every state except North Dakota has had to close a budget gap. But a handful of states stand out for the depth of their fiscal problems. For 2010, seven states had budget gaps totaling more than 25% of general fund spending, as measured by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities. Of these, six have a clear story about how they ended up in such a mess.
Nevada is battered by weak travel to Las Vegas, while California is heavily reliant on shrinking income tax revenues. Arizona, California and Nevada were all hit particularly hard by the burst of the property…

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America’s banks are as vulnerable today as before the credit crisis, and reforms offered by Senate Finance Committee Chairman Christopher Dodd won’t fix things.
Prior to the crisis, Americans spent vastly more than they earned, borrowing against overvalued homes through creative mortgages. Banks offered adjustable rate mortgages and other products that unrealistically assumed homeowners could shoulder much bigger monthly payments after five years or refinance homes at higher values. Often incomes and home values were not verified, and similar games abounded on credit cards.
Many…

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The new Obama Fed is going to be very dovish when it comes to fighting future inflation and defending the value of the dollar.
The president has nominated Janet Yellen to be vice chair of the Federal Reserve. Ms. Yellen is a distinguished economist who unfortunately subscribes to the Phillips-curve model that trades off unemployment and inflation. In other words, rather than excess money creation as the cause of rising prices, she focuses on the unemployment rate, the volume of new jobs being created, and the growth of the overall economy. For Ms. Yellen, inflation is caused by too many…

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As Washington and the states pile up mountainous liabilities - $3 trillion for unfunded state pensions, $10 trillion in new federal deficits through 2019, and $38 trillion (or is it $50 trillion?) in unfunded Medicare promises - the U.S. needs once again to call on its chief strategic asset: radical innovation.
One laboratory of growth will continue to be the Internet. The U.S. began the 2000’s with fewer than five million residential broadband lines and zero mobile broadband. We begin the new decade with 71 million residential lines and 300 million portable and mobile broadband devices….

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WASHINGTON-Lucky women. They face an 8% unemployment rate, compared with 10% for men. Women are riding out the recession more easily, so what better time for Congress to put forward an agenda to help those men displaced from construction and manufacturing?
Yet men can wait. Today the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor and Pensions holds a hearing on the misnamed Paycheck Fairness Act, a bill designed to raised women’s wages. Hillary Clinton introduced the bill when she was still a Democratic senator from New York, and it has 38 Democratic cosponsors. The bill would vastly…

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It’s very difficult to pick up any kind of financial publication these days without reading about China’s growing economy, and what this means for the economic health of the United States. While an enhanced division of labor has traditionally been viewed as bullish for all who participate in what is a “closed” world economy, China’s rise is increasingly seen as a threat to the U.S. for its ever-expanding workforce making ours less relevant.
Not only is China’s economy presently the third largest in the world, it can now lay claim to being the largest market for…

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The health of an economy is too-simply described by GDP growth. If I sue you, and you countersue me, our collective legal fees increase GDP handily. Excellent! If government passes additional laws to increase the complexity of the tax code and the burden of regulatory compliance, and then hires additional staff to better enforce these more-complex laws and regulations, GDP rises handily. If our employers hire additional people to address these new levels of complexity and regulation, GDP again rises handily. Better still, the “Keynesian multiplier” applies to the spending of these…

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The game of Chicken, in which two players face off against one another in a potentially devastating confrontation, seems like an apt description for the clash on Sunday between Cablevision and ABC over transmission fees, which resulted in a black-out of part of the Oscar telecast for about 3 million viewers. The game is also an appropriate analogy for the face-off between the National Football League and its players’ union over a collective bargaining agreement, which could result in a lock-out of players or a strike.
In both cases, however, the consumer sits in the middle of this game…

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There’s an old joke about a chemist, a physicist and an economist stuck on a desert island. The castaways possess plenty of canned food, but no tools. The scientists set about an elaborate scheme to build a fire and explode the cans open. But the economist proposes a more elegant solution — “First,” he says, “assume a can opener.”
Last week, Republican Representatives Mike Pence and Jeb Hensarling introduced a proposal that is the budgetary equivalent to that economist’s approach. With federal spending projected reach 24% of GDP by the end of this decade (or 23%…

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Employment: As the economy continues to destroy jobs, we hear a new excuse. Frigid weather, the White House says, made the jobs report look worse than it is. Actually, even without snow, it’s worse than you think.
Businesses shed another 36,000 jobs during February, the latest jobs report shows, but the unemployment rate remained flat at 9.7%. This, say Democrats in Washington, is a positive sign.
“Only 36,000 lost their jobs today,” crowed Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, as if losing thousands of jobs was an achievement.
We’re sad to say, the picture is even worse than…

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If you ever find yourself munching a sandwich at your desk and want to enliven your lunch break with a fascinating lecture about the future of medicine, tune in to a talk titled “Systems Biology, Systems Medicine, and Transformational Technologies” by Dr. Leroy Hood of the Institute for Systems Biology.
Pitching a lay audience at one of Yahoo! Labs “Big Thinker” events, Dr. Hood does a masterful job describing the possibilities that lie ahead for what he calls the new age of P4 medicine. The four “P”s are predictive, personalized, preventative, and…

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Rather than a post-partisan olive branch to congressional Republicans and the American public, President Obama’s latest health-care speech was a declaration of war. He’s more than willing to use a 51-vote reconciliation majority to jam through a roughly $2 trillion health-care plan that amounts to a government takeover of nearly one-fifth of the economy. He’s prepared to stick Uncle Sam right in the middle of the age-old relationship between patients and doctors, and doctors and hospitals, all while subjugating the private health-care insurance system to the status of a…

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Sen. Dodd’s financial reform bill, like Rep. Frank’s before it promises to be a magnificent example of the politicians’ craft. The near perfect failure of either bill to address the actual cause of the crisis is outshined only by the shamelessness with which its authors evade their own responsibility for the disaster. Naturally they propose to expand their own power to do it all over again.
The most hypocritical and dangerous part of the bill is the creation of a new agency (or in the Senate bill a new department inside the Federal Reserve) supposed to protect consumers from…

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