These investments may not look so great today. But prices suggest the time to commit long term is now.
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Archive for July 14th, 2010A recent dive in the market and some pessimistic predictions have investors running scared again. Here’s a look at some worst-case scenarios — and how to prepare. Some college students under 21 want credit cards but don’t want their parents to know. And an older student wonders if co-signing — for a fee — might be worthwhile. WASHINGTON-President Obama thinks that not enough American women study math and science. And he’s decided that the government should do something about it. The president wants to expand so-called gender parity under federal law beyond college athletics to courses in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM).
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2010
Tell-All Author Discusses Music Industry in CrisisPosted by: wiredtechbiz in Wired Tech BizWe all know record-label executives are more or less banshees from the fiery pits of hell, sent here to sue kids and rob artists, but have you ever spent a good chunk of time with one? In this exclusive interview, author Fred Goodman gives us the inside scoop on what makes Warner Music Group chief Edgar Bronfman Jr. tick.
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2010
BOOK REVIEW: Sebastian Mallaby’s More Money Than GodPosted by: realclearmarkets in RealClearMarketsTestifying before Congress in 1967, Nobel Laureate Paul Samuelson proclaimed that “Most portfolio decision makers should go out of business - take up plumbing, teach Greek, or help produce the annual GNP by serving as corporate executives.” Though he later became a major investor in one of the world’s most prominent hedge funds, Samuelson was merely spouting settled logic among academicians that markets were too efficient to be outperformed by individuals.
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2010
Telsa Is "Silly … a Stupid Idea," Lindzon Says: Govt. Better Off Investing in BikesPosted by: yahootechticker in Yahoo Tech TickerElectric car marker Tesla went public on June 29 with great fanfare. At $17 per share, the IPO was priced above its expected range and more shares than expected were sold to meet high demand. Tesla was the first American car company to go public since For
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2010
American Consumers: "A Little Bit Better" But Still "Up and Down," Staples Pres. SaysPosted by: yahootechticker in Yahoo Tech TickerRetail sales fell for a second consecutive month, raising concerns about the health of the consumer. June’s 0.5% drop in retail sales was worse than expected but sales were 6.5% higher than a year ago. “It’s continued unevenness,” say
Jul
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2010
Apple Stock Drops 7 Percent Since iPhone 4; Analysts UnfazedPosted by: wiredtechbiz in Wired Tech BizWall Street has not been kind to Apple in the days since the iPhone 4 was released in late June, although analysts say demand for the devices remains strong despite reports of an antenna malfunction. It is quite common for conferences to have a ‘venture capital panel’ with a collection of VCs, angels and maybe advisors who typically discuss what it is that VCs are looking for and how entrepreneurs might go about getting themselves funded, often with a sector focus. I was on such a venture capital panel yesterday at the Develop games conference in Brighton with Carlos Espinal of Doughty Hanson, Ian Baverstock of Tenshi Ventures, and Tim Merel of IBIS Capital which was ably hosted by Paul Flanagan of Ariadne. I participate in these panels to help entrepreneurs and would be entrepreneurs understand more about how venture capital works and how they might successfully approach us in the hope of encouraging more people to start businesses and of making the process of raising money more efficient for everyone. As the panel ended yesterday I thought we had collectively done a pretty good job of doing exactly that in the context of the games industry. However, I subsequently learned that for at least one member of the audience we had assumed too great a baseline of knowledge about venture capital. Reflecting on that piece of feedback subsequently I recalled a number of other situations where I have made the same mistake, including with some quite experienced entrepreneurs. All of which prompted this post, in which I’m going to try something of an experiment. In the final section of this post I will write a high level description of the venture capital process and the most important facts pertaining to raising capital. I would like you to poke holes, ask questions, and suggest areas where an expanded explanation would be helpful. My hope is that through the comments and maybe subsequent posts we will generate a picture of which parts of the venture industry and process are widely understood (if any) and which parts deserve to be explained more often and more thoroughly. This picture will help me and any VCs who read this blog set the baseline well when they are at conferences and in any blog posts and other communications they produce, and will hopefully be a resource in its own right. Many of you are very knowledgeable about the venture industry already, and as well as shining a light into corners of the industry that remain dark for you I’m keen to provide something useful for people who are new to the VC industry, so if you have a good understanding of this area feel free to cast your mind back to when you didn’t, and also to forward this post to friends who are looking to get up the learning curve. I will endeavour to answer any and all questions that you have. The only questions that I can think of right now that I won’t be able to answer are those relating to confidential information about specific funds or their portfolio companies, or anything that would require me to criticise someone else’s business. There are of course many good resources on the web describing venture capital not least the wikipedia article and there isn’t any value in repeating what you can find elsewhere, so I have tried to take a different perspective below and have also focused the description below on the things I find myself most often explaining to people. An introduction to venture capital The venture capital industry is a small segment (maybe 1-3%) of the wider fund management industry. At one level it exists to give pension funds, insurance companies and other large asset managers access to investments in high risk and potentially high return investments in technology startups. At another level the venture capital industry exists to provide equity financing to startups so they can continue to innovate and to grow quickly thereby creating employment and delivering a host of other benefits to the economy. As you can see, professionals in the venture capital industry are middlemen between the entrepreneurs/startups in which we invest and the asset managers who provide the cash that makes up our funds (Limited Partners or LPs in the industry jargon). Unsurprisingly the most successful VCs are the ones that provide the best service to both sets of partners. With LPs it is pretty simple – they want the biggest possible return in the timeframe over the 5-10 year life of the fund. With startups it is also simple, at least at a high level – firstly they want money, and after investment they want any assistance that helps grow their business or otherwise accelerates value creation. Breaking that down to the next level on the LP side; to generate great returns VCs need to make investments in businesses that will grow fast and exit for a good multiple of the entry valuation. As I’ve written here before, a good model for a successful venture fund is to have one third winners with 5-10x returns, one third that more or less return the investment and one third losers. Unfortunately, having a large percentage of losers is endemic to the business of investing in startups, and that means the good ones need to be very good if the averages are going to work out. That covers the LP requirement for big returns. Their other LP requirement is that we invest their money in a timely fashion – as this helps them manage their own cash flows. This need for timeliness puts pressure on VCs to make regular investments and you will often see VCs who have not made an investment for a while have a sudden push and make several investments in a short period of time in order to catch up. Breaking it down on the startup side; the first thing that VCs can do to help entrepreneurs is have an efficient investment process. That means being clear about the chances of discussions reaching a successful conclusion, being clear about their investment criteria (both with themselves and the startup), and getting to a decision as quickly as possible. Post investment the trick is to provide help where it is wanted or needed and not where it isn’t. All these things are easily said, but complicated in practice. The varied nature of venture capital investing and the need to find the new new thing is in constant tension with the need for efficiency in the investment process, and the high failure rate within our portfolios requires that we sometimes take action to to help improve a company’s performance even if the executive is against it – a requirement that puts tension in the relationship between VC and entrepreneur. The best way to navigate these potentially troubled waters is to find a VC who you like and trust, who understands your business well and who you think will want to jump the same way as you if there is a need to deviate from plan. Related articles by Zemanta
Jul
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2010
"Genius Bars" for Everyone! Apple’s Model Can Save the Economy, Howard Lindzon SaysPosted by: yahootechticker in Yahoo Tech TickerBanks have loosened lending standards in recent months, according to the Fed’s latest quarterly lending survey. But the guts of the report show hedge fund and private equity firms are enjoying the lion’s share of improvement, as The WSJ reports. …
Jul
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2010
Why Earnings Are Beating Estimates While Economic Data FlopsPosted by: yahootechticker in Yahoo Tech TickerFrom The Business InsiderEditor’s Note: Edward Harrison is a banking
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2010
You Won’t Have Any Idea How Badly Our Stock Market Is Doing Until You Look At These ChartsPosted by: yahootechticker in Yahoo Tech TickerProvided by the Business Insider, July 14, 2010: It has been a rough decade for the stock market.After the peak in 2000, the market has basically been down, up, down, up, mostly sideways for the past 12 or so years.But it has been nowhere near as bad
Jul
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2010
"How Crazy Is That?": Startups Are Safer Than Stocks, Howard Lindzon SaysPosted by: yahootechticker in Yahoo Tech TickerLike many investors, Howard Lindzon has had enough of the stock market. In recent years he’s increasingly traded in his stocks for a portfolio of early stage web companies. “The market is still kind of broken,” he tells Aaron in th
Jul
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2010
The Internet Is U.S./China’s New Dollar/YuanPosted by: realclearmarkets in RealClearMarketsIf last decade’s U.S.-China relationship was dominated by a dollar-yuan currency clash, this decade’s disputes may center on Internet policy. |

